Genoa vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
18.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
PAR
2 - 1
GEN
51%
29%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
GEN
1 - 1
USA
69%
21%
10%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
GEN
1 - 0
ATL
60%
25%
15%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
USF
1 - 0
GEN
59%
26%
15%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
NOV
2 - 1
GEN
56%
27%
18%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
ARZ
2 - 3
PRG
43%
30%
27%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
PRG
3 - 1
TAR
62%
25%
13%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
PAR
1 - 1
PRG
51%
28%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
PRG
3 - 1
AVE
57%
25%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
PRG
2 - 0
PAL
50%
30%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |