Genoa vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
FRO
1 - 2
GEN
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
GEN
2 - 0
CHI
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
LAZ
4 - 1
GEN
74%
16%
9%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
GEN
1 - 0
BOL
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
USA
0 - 4
GEN
12%
20%
68%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 0
EMP
34%
27%
40%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
NAP
3 - 0
PAR
88%
9%
3%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 0
CAG
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
INT
0 - 1
PAR
79%
15%
6%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
LIV
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |