Genoa vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 0
GEN
45%
28%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
GEN
2 - 4
UDI
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
INT
3 - 2
GEN
75%
17%
8%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
CES
0 - 0
GEN
29%
29%
42%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2011 |
GEN
0 - 0
LAZ
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
PAL
0 - 0
PAR
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 0
CAT
47%
27%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 0
PAR
28%
27%
45%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 2
CAG
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 4
PAR
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |