Genoa vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
17%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
20.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1988 |
PAD
0 - 2
GEN
56%
26%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
GEN
1 - 0
ARZ
57%
27%
17%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1988 |
GEN
1 - 1
MOD
61%
24%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1988 |
PIA
0 - 0
GEN
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1988 |
GEN
1 - 1
SSB
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1988 |
PAR
0 - 0
BRE
47%
31%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
USC
0 - 0
PAR
55%
27%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1988 |
PAR
1 - 0
LEC
45%
31%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1988 |
AVE
2 - 0
PAR
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1988 |
LAZ
0 - 0
PAR
52%
28%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |