Genoa vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
16.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1987 |
CAG
2 - 2
GEN
40%
32%
28%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
LEC
2 - 1
GEN
49%
29%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
GEN
2 - 0
CAT
64%
24%
13%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1987 |
MOD
1 - 1
GEN
39%
32%
30%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
GEN
1 - 1
PIS
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1987 |
PAR
2 - 1
SSS
53%
32%
16%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
VIC
2 - 0
PAR
50%
30%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
PAR
2 - 0
BOL
47%
32%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1987 |
CAT
0 - 0
PAR
43%
31%
25%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAR
51%
29%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |