Genoa vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
USA
0 - 0
GEN
36%
30%
34%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
GEN
1 - 0
LEC
53%
26%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
MES
0 - 0
GEN
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
GEN
3 - 2
FOR
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
PRO
1 - 0
GEN
37%
29%
34%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
PAL
1 - 1
MOD
51%
28%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
PAL
2 - 0
LIV
50%
28%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
VNZ
0 - 0
PAL
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
MAN
2 - 2
PAL
57%
26%
17%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
PAL
2 - 3
LEC
37%
31%
32%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |