Genoa vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
10.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
ROM
1 - 0
GEN
48%
23%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
GEN
4 - 1
INT
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
SAM
5 - 1
GEN
50%
21%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
BOL
2 - 2
GEN
51%
22%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
GEN
2 - 1
JUV
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
PAL
1 - 0
LAZ
39%
25%
37%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
PAL
1 - 3
ASL
43%
24%
33%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
TRI
3 - 1
PAL
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
INT
0 - 0
PAL
75%
15%
10%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
PAL
4 - 2
LIV
40%
25%
36%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |