Genoa vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
13%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
27%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
15.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
COM
2 - 0
GEN
58%
28%
15%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
VER
0 - 0
GEN
67%
22%
11%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
GEN
2 - 1
PES
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
GEN
0 - 0
TAR
65%
23%
12%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
PAL
0 - 0
GEN
61%
26%
14%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
NOV
1 - 1
USA
65%
23%
12%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
PES
1 - 0
NOV
58%
24%
19%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
NOV
0 - 1
SPA
58%
26%
16%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
REG
1 - 0
NOV
42%
30%
29%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
NOV
2 - 0
VER
39%
32%
30%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |