Genoa vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
14.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
GEN
3 - 1
VER
55%
26%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
CAT
1 - 1
GEN
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
GEN
0 - 0
PAD
55%
26%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1967 |
POT
0 - 2
GEN
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1967 |
GEN
1 - 1
REG
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
NOV
0 - 0
PIS
44%
30%
26%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
USF
3 - 1
NOV
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
NOV
1 - 1
REG
48%
28%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1967 |
LIV
1 - 0
NOV
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1967 |
NOV
0 - 1
CAT
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |