Genoa vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
14%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1967 |
GEN
0 - 0
CAT
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1967 |
REG
0 - 0
GEN
38%
30%
32%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1966 |
GEN
1 - 1
PAL
65%
21%
13%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1966 |
PAD
1 - 0
GEN
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
GEN
2 - 0
VAR
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1967 |
POT
1 - 1
NOV
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1967 |
NOV
1 - 0
PAL
49%
28%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1966 |
ARZ
2 - 0
NOV
48%
25%
28%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1966 |
NOV
2 - 0
MES
43%
29%
28%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
LIV
0 - 0
NOV
57%
25%
19%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |