Genoa vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
SSS
0 - 0
GEN
44%
27%
30%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
GEN
2 - 4
MAN
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
USA
0 - 0
GEN
53%
23%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
GEN
2 - 0
VNZ
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
GEN
3 - 1
PAR
64%
20%
15%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
NOV
2 - 1
ACM
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
ACP
3 - 0
NOV
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
NOV
0 - 0
ASS
63%
22%
16%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
VER
0 - 0
NOV
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
NOV
2 - 1
USF
59%
21%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |