Genoa vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
NAP
1 - 0
GEN
44%
23%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
BOL
4 - 1
GEN
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
GEN
2 - 0
JUV
55%
23%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
LAZ
0 - 1
GEN
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
GEN
0 - 1
FIO
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
NOV
1 - 2
JUV
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
LAZ
0 - 0
NOV
62%
19%
19%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
NOV
2 - 0
FIO
45%
23%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
ACM
2 - 0
NOV
60%
20%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
NOV
4 - 0
BAR
53%
22%
25%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |