Genoa vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
4.3%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 2
GEN
51%
26%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
GEN
3 - 2
CES
71%
19%
11%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
LAZ
4 - 2
GEN
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
GEN
2 - 1
SAM
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
NAP
1 - 0
GEN
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
NOC
2 - 0
USF
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
NOC
1 - 0
ASG
47%
25%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
ASG
1 - 1
NOC
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
NOC
1 - 1
VIR
54%
26%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
GEL
2 - 1
NOC
23%
29%
48%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |