Genoa vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 1
GEN
24%
26%
50%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
GEN
1 - 0
ROM
20%
23%
57%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
SAS
4 - 2
GEN
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
GEN
0 - 0
BOL
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
GEN
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
ATH
3 - 1
NAP
37%
25%
38%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
NAP
1 - 1
ATH
63%
21%
16%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
NAP
1 - 2
PSG
44%
24%
33%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
NAP
1 - 0
FCB
21%
22%
58%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2014 |
NAP
3 - 1
KAL
89%
9%
2%
|
90 | 59 | 31 | 0 |