Genoa vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
49.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
UDI
1 - 0
GEN
66%
21%
14%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
GEN
0 - 0
LIV
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SAM
0 - 3
GEN
53%
26%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
GEN
2 - 5
FIO
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
INT
2 - 0
GEN
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
NAP
1 - 1
SAS
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ACM
1 - 2
NAP
55%
23%
22%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
NAP
2 - 1
BVB
24%
23%
54%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NAP
2 - 0
ATL
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 4
NAP
20%
26%
54%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |