Genoa vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
42.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
JUV
1 - 0
GEN
82%
13%
5%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
GEN
2 - 2
ROM
46%
29%
25%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
GEN
0 - 0
JUV
26%
26%
49%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
ASS
2 - 2
GEN
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
GEN
1 - 0
SSS
72%
17%
12%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
APO
1 - 1
NAP
39%
27%
34%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
NAP
3 - 0
VER
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
FCC
0 - 0
NAP
25%
31%
45%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
NAP
1 - 0
BOG
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
BOG
0 - 2
NAP
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |