Genoa vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
25.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
PRO
1 - 3
GEN
39%
24%
37%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
SAM
0 - 2
GEN
67%
18%
16%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
GEN
5 - 2
VIG
73%
15%
13%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
GEN
4 - 0
USA
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
GEN
1 - 3
SAM
53%
21%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
NAP
5 - 0
MES
83%
11%
6%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
PAL
5 - 1
NAP
38%
25%
38%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
NAP
0 - 4
LAZ
61%
20%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
ROM
2 - 1
NAP
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
NAP
4 - 2
PAL
74%
15%
11%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | +1 |