Genoa vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
FIO
1 - 0
GEN
67%
18%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
GEN
3 - 2
COM
52%
22%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
ATL
2 - 1
GEN
64%
19%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
GEN
1 - 1
UDI
54%
21%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
ASL
0 - 0
GEN
55%
22%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
NAP
0 - 4
INT
29%
24%
47%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
ACM
2 - 1
NAP
86%
9%
5%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
NAP
4 - 1
BOL
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
NAP
0 - 0
ATL
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
FIO
2 - 0
NAP
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |