Genoa vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
10.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1940 |
GEN
0 - 1
BOL
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
JUV
2 - 0
GEN
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
GEN
2 - 2
LAZ
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
FIO
4 - 3
GEN
35%
24%
40%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
TOR
3 - 1
GEN
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1940 |
NAP
2 - 2
JUV
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
LAZ
1 - 1
NAP
68%
19%
14%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
NAP
0 - 2
FIO
55%
23%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
ACM
4 - 0
NAP
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
NAP
2 - 0
VNZ
50%
22%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |