Genoa vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
20%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1930 |
BRE
4 - 1
GEN
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1930 |
BOL
0 - 1
GEN
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1930 |
GEN
3 - 1
ROM
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1930 |
PAD
0 - 0
GEN
23%
21%
57%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
GEN
2 - 1
TRI
79%
12%
9%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1930 |
NAP
3 - 1
INT
41%
24%
34%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1930 |
LEO
4 - 0
NAP
36%
21%
42%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1930 |
NAP
4 - 2
PRO
78%
13%
9%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1930 |
USC
0 - 0
NAP
18%
19%
63%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
NAP
2 - 1
MOD
81%
11%
8%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |