Genoa vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
USC
0 - 0
GEN
41%
26%
34%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
GEN
1 - 0
MON
33%
24%
43%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
GEN
1 - 4
VNZ
65%
21%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
GEN
12 - 0
ASD
92%
7%
1%
|
81 | 8 | 73 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
GEN
4 - 3
BAR
56%
25%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
MOD
2 - 0
DIN
77%
16%
8%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 1
MOD
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
MOD
1 - 1
FIO
88%
10%
2%
|
69 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
MOD
9 - 0
FOR
84%
11%
5%
|
69 | 22 | 47 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
MOD
2 - 1
FCS
42%
29%
29%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |