Genoa vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10.3%
2-0
15%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
18.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
PIS
2 - 0
GEN
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
MES
2 - 1
GEN
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
GEN
1 - 0
TRI
53%
28%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
USC
1 - 1
GEN
55%
27%
18%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
GEN
4 - 2
CAM
58%
27%
15%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
LAZ
4 - 2
MOD
68%
21%
10%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
MOD
2 - 0
TAR
59%
26%
15%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
MOD
1 - 0
CES
43%
31%
27%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
TRI
1 - 1
MOD
63%
25%
12%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
MOD
1 - 1
ARZ
42%
31%
28%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |