Genoa vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
19%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
8.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1976 |
GEN
1 - 3
INT
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
BRE
1 - 1
GEN
54%
28%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1976 |
VER
1 - 0
GEN
76%
15%
9%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
GEN
1 - 1
NOV
68%
21%
11%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1976 |
GEN
1 - 1
VER
54%
22%
24%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
MOD
2 - 2
VAR
36%
30%
35%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
MOD
1 - 0
PES
48%
29%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
VIC
1 - 0
MOD
69%
21%
10%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
MOD
1 - 0
TAR
51%
29%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
BRE
1 - 2
MOD
65%
23%
12%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |