Genoa vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
18.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
15.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
20.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
GEN
1 - 0
USF
34%
32%
34%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
REG
1 - 0
GEN
58%
27%
15%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
ARZ
1 - 1
GEN
59%
26%
15%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
GEN
0 - 1
NOV
40%
31%
28%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
GEN
0 - 0
SOR
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
MOD
0 - 1
TAR
48%
29%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
MOD
1 - 2
CAT
43%
31%
26%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
SOR
0 - 0
MOD
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
MOD
0 - 0
REG
49%
30%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
ARZ
1 - 0
MOD
55%
28%
18%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |