Genoa vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
13.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
MES
1 - 1
GEN
35%
31%
35%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
GEN
2 - 0
NOV
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
GEN
3 - 1
VER
55%
26%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
CAT
1 - 1
GEN
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
GEN
0 - 0
PAD
55%
26%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
VNZ
1 - 0
MOD
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
MOD
1 - 2
PAD
46%
30%
25%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
MOD
1 - 1
LEC
51%
28%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
REG
2 - 0
MOD
54%
27%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
MOD
1 - 1
USF
41%
30%
30%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |