Genoa vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1952 |
SAL
1 - 0
GEN
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
CAT
1 - 1
GEN
47%
25%
29%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
GEN
2 - 0
VER
65%
19%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
ACM
0 - 1
GEN
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
GEN
2 - 0
CAG
50%
22%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1952 |
VIC
2 - 0
MOD
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
MOD
0 - 2
ASS
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
ATP
2 - 2
MOD
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
MOD
1 - 0
SIR
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
MOD
2 - 0
MES
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |