Genoa vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
FAN
2 - 0
GEN
57%
22%
22%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
PIS
1 - 0
GEN
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
GEN
1 - 0
ROM
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
LIV
1 - 0
GEN
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
GEN
2 - 2
ACM
70%
17%
13%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
MOD
4 - 0
ACM
58%
21%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
BRE
0 - 0
MOD
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
MOD
2 - 0
LIV
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
VER
1 - 0
MOD
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
MOD
3 - 1
PIS
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |