Genoa vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
14.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
VNZ
0 - 0
GEN
49%
24%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
GEN
0 - 1
TOR
39%
24%
38%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
ACM
1 - 0
GEN
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
BOL
4 - 0
GEN
64%
18%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
GEN
0 - 2
SAM
77%
14%
9%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
MOD
0 - 0
JUV
34%
25%
42%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
MOD
2 - 1
BRE
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
MOD
2 - 0
BOL
37%
28%
36%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
ATL
0 - 1
MOD
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
MOD
0 - 0
VNZ
36%
25%
40%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |