Genoa vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1931 |
USA
0 - 1
GEN
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1931 |
GEN
3 - 2
LIV
85%
10%
5%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1931 |
NAP
0 - 1
GEN
54%
22%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1931 |
GEN
5 - 0
UNI
91%
6%
3%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1931 |
GEN
1 - 0
TRI
74%
15%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1931 |
MOD
3 - 1
PRO
60%
19%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1931 |
TOR
1 - 1
MOD
69%
17%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1931 |
MOD
3 - 2
BRE
50%
21%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1931 |
ROM
4 - 0
MOD
72%
16%
12%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1931 |
MOD
3 - 0
LAZ
36%
22%
42%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |