Genoa vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
58.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
ASC
3 - 2
GEN
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
GEN
2 - 1
GRO
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
GEN
0 - 0
NAP
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 0
GEN
35%
29%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
GEN
3 - 0
PES
79%
15%
6%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2007 |
REG
2 - 0
ACM
18%
25%
58%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2007 |
ACM
2 - 1
LIV
51%
24%
26%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
ACM
2 - 3
UDI
72%
18%
10%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
CAT
1 - 1
ACM
16%
24%
60%
|
93 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
ACM
0 - 0
FIO
71%
19%
10%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |