Genoa vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
37.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
GEN
0 - 2
BOL
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
FIO
1 - 2
GEN
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
GEN
2 - 2
INT
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
SAM
1 - 2
GEN
54%
27%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
GEN
0 - 0
PRG
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
ACM
1 - 1
ROM
63%
23%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
INT
0 - 0
ACM
47%
26%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
ACM
1 - 1
BOL
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
JUV
2 - 1
ACM
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
ACM
1 - 1
NAP
51%
26%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |