Genoa vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
57.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1955 |
GEN
1 - 0
ATL
45%
25%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1955 |
FIO
2 - 2
GEN
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1955 |
GEN
2 - 0
JUV
22%
23%
56%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
GEN
1 - 3
PRO
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
INT
0 - 1
GEN
79%
13%
7%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1955 |
ACM
3 - 1
JUV
60%
19%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1955 |
LAZ
2 - 4
ACM
28%
23%
49%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1955 |
UDI
3 - 2
ACM
31%
24%
46%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
ACM
0 - 2
ROM
81%
12%
7%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
NOV
1 - 1
ACM
24%
23%
53%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |