Genoa vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1941 |
BAR
1 - 1
GEN
28%
23%
49%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
GEN
1 - 0
VNZ
72%
15%
13%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1940 |
ATL
1 - 1
GEN
33%
23%
45%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1940 |
GEN
4 - 0
TOR
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1940 |
ROM
3 - 0
GEN
51%
23%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1941 |
ACM
2 - 2
JUV
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ACM
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1940 |
ACM
3 - 1
FIO
59%
21%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1940 |
BOL
4 - 2
ACM
69%
19%
13%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1940 |
BAR
1 - 3
ACM
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |