Genoa vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
NOV
0 - 0
GEN
33%
22%
44%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
GEN
2 - 1
LAZ
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
BOL
3 - 0
GEN
62%
21%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
LIV
2 - 2
GEN
34%
25%
41%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
GEN
8 - 0
BAR
70%
17%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
ACM
3 - 1
INT
42%
26%
33%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
NAP
1 - 0
ACM
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
ACM
0 - 1
ROM
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
ACM
2 - 0
MOD
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
ASL
1 - 2
ACM
41%
24%
36%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |