Genoa vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1936 |
ROM
0 - 0
GEN
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1936 |
GEN
1 - 1
FIO
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1936 |
JUV
2 - 2
GEN
73%
15%
11%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1936 |
GEN
0 - 1
BOL
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1936 |
GEN
1 - 1
ASL
74%
15%
11%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1936 |
ACM
2 - 0
NOV
67%
18%
15%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1936 |
BAR
2 - 0
ACM
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1936 |
ACM
0 - 0
TRI
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1936 |
TOR
3 - 1
ACM
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1936 |
ACM
1 - 0
NAP
49%
23%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |