Genoa vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1930 |
TOR
0 - 2
GEN
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1930 |
LAZ
5 - 0
GEN
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1930 |
GEN
3 - 1
BOL
56%
21%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1930 |
CAS
1 - 0
GEN
9%
15%
76%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1930 |
GEN
0 - 3
JUV
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1930 |
ACM
2 - 0
UNI
72%
15%
13%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1930 |
MOD
3 - 0
ACM
34%
23%
43%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1930 |
ACM
1 - 0
BRE
64%
18%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1930 |
LEO
0 - 2
ACM
44%
22%
35%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1930 |
ACM
1 - 2
BOL
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |