Genoa vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
VNZ
0 - 1
GEN
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
GEN
3 - 0
SAL
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
CAG
1 - 0
GEN
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
GEN
0 - 0
BAR
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
CAT
3 - 2
GEN
29%
28%
43%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
MES
3 - 1
VIC
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
ASC
1 - 0
MES
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
MES
0 - 2
LEC
31%
27%
43%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
MES
3 - 3
CAT
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
SIE
1 - 0
MES
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |