Genoa vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
18.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1968 |
NOV
1 - 1
GEN
40%
30%
30%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1968 |
VER
1 - 1
GEN
48%
29%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1968 |
GEN
0 - 1
CAT
48%
28%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1968 |
PAD
2 - 2
GEN
53%
27%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1968 |
GEN
1 - 0
POT
63%
24%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1968 |
MES
0 - 0
PRG
42%
28%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1968 |
REG
0 - 0
MES
55%
26%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1968 |
MES
1 - 0
PAL
39%
33%
28%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1968 |
CAT
0 - 0
MES
60%
25%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1968 |
VER
2 - 0
MES
53%
28%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |