Genoa vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
19%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
MOD
1 - 0
GEN
36%
30%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
GEN
2 - 0
SAL
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
LIV
1 - 0
GEN
38%
29%
34%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
GEN
1 - 0
ARZ
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
SAM
1 - 0
GEN
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
MES
1 - 1
PAD
41%
30%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
MES
2 - 0
REG
37%
28%
36%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
FCC
2 - 0
MES
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
SAL
0 - 2
MES
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
REG
0 - 1
MES
62%
19%
19%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |