Genoa vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
17.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1966 |
FOR
1 - 2
GEN
42%
27%
32%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
GEN
1 - 1
PRO
64%
22%
15%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1966 |
NOV
1 - 1
GEN
34%
29%
38%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
GEN
1 - 0
PIS
65%
22%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
PAD
2 - 0
GEN
41%
28%
32%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1966 |
MES
0 - 0
PRO
52%
27%
22%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
PAD
4 - 1
MES
52%
27%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1966 |
MES
1 - 0
FCC
47%
28%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
MES
3 - 0
VNZ
41%
30%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
LEC
0 - 0
MES
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |