Genoa vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
REG
1 - 2
GEN
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
GEN
4 - 2
SSS
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
PRO
2 - 2
GEN
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
GEN
2 - 0
COS
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
GEN
1 - 1
FCC
63%
21%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
MOD
4 - 0
ASL
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
ASL
2 - 0
COM
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
ASL
1 - 1
SSS
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
VER
1 - 1
ASL
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
ASL
3 - 0
COS
60%
20%
20%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |