Genoa vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
8.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1938 |
ACM
2 - 2
GEN
54%
23%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
GEN
1 - 3
BOL
55%
22%
22%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
LIV
0 - 1
GEN
31%
24%
45%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
GEN
1 - 2
JUV
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
GEN
2 - 1
NAP
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1938 |
ASL
2 - 1
BAR
48%
22%
30%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
NAP
2 - 1
ASL
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
ACM
4 - 0
ASL
76%
14%
10%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
ASL
0 - 0
ACL
46%
22%
32%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
FIO
0 - 0
ASL
61%
20%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |