Genoa vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
CES
1 - 1
GEN
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
LIV
0 - 3
GEN
61%
22%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
GEN
0 - 1
TOR
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
GEN
3 - 0
COS
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
TRI
1 - 0
GEN
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
LIV
0 - 3
GEN
61%
22%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
CES
1 - 1
LIV
41%
27%
33%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
LIV
1 - 1
ANC
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
CAT
3 - 2
LIV
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
LIV
2 - 2
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |