Genoa vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
BRE
1 - 1
GEN
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
GEN
0 - 0
BAR
46%
29%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
REG
1 - 0
GEN
49%
28%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
GEN
2 - 2
ASS
55%
26%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
GEN
2 - 0
MAN
52%
29%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
LIV
3 - 1
FCC
52%
29%
20%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
LIV
0 - 0
COM
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
BAR
2 - 1
LIV
62%
24%
14%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
USF
1 - 0
LIV
60%
25%
15%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
LIV
1 - 0
CES
51%
26%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |