Genoa vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
14.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
ASS
1 - 1
GEN
46%
27%
26%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
GEN
2 - 0
BAR
58%
24%
17%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
PRG
1 - 0
GEN
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
GEN
1 - 1
VNZ
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
REG
2 - 0
GEN
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
LIV
1 - 1
MES
50%
27%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1967 |
BAR
2 - 0
LIV
56%
22%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
LIV
0 - 0
FCC
48%
27%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
MOD
1 - 1
LIV
51%
28%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
LIV
1 - 0
LAZ
45%
30%
25%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |