Genoa vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
ACM
2 - 1
GEN
38%
23%
40%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
GEN
5 - 0
JUS
79%
13%
9%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
SAL
0 - 2
GEN
45%
24%
31%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
GEN
2 - 0
VER
67%
18%
15%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
BRE
1 - 1
GEN
45%
25%
31%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
LIV
1 - 1
ASS
59%
21%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
TRE
0 - 0
LIV
54%
21%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
LIV
0 - 1
FAN
64%
20%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
ATP
0 - 0
LIV
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
LIV
1 - 1
JUS
69%
17%
14%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |