Genoa vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
TOR
2 - 3
GEN
38%
29%
34%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
GEN
2 - 2
CHI
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 1
GEN
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
GEN
3 - 1
SAM
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
BOL
2 - 0
GEN
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
LEC
1 - 1
FIO
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
BOL
2 - 1
LEC
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
LEC
1 - 1
NAP
41%
27%
31%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 2
LEC
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
LEC
2 - 1
CAT
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |