Genoa vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
17%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
CAG
1 - 0
GEN
43%
31%
26%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1985 |
GEN
1 - 1
PAR
62%
24%
14%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
CES
3 - 1
GEN
49%
29%
22%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
GEN
1 - 0
BAR
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
SSS
1 - 1
GEN
35%
34%
31%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
LEC
2 - 0
PES
52%
28%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1985 |
LEC
1 - 0
ARZ
54%
28%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
CAT
0 - 0
LEC
46%
30%
24%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
LEC
1 - 0
PIS
44%
29%
28%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
EMP
2 - 2
LEC
45%
30%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |