Genoa vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
13.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
PIS
1 - 1
GEN
44%
31%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
GEN
0 - 0
ACM
29%
28%
43%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
PES
2 - 1
GEN
54%
27%
19%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
GEN
1 - 1
VIC
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
RIM
0 - 0
GEN
40%
31%
29%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
LEC
0 - 0
CES
44%
31%
26%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
VAR
2 - 1
LEC
51%
30%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
LEC
1 - 3
BAR
59%
26%
15%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
SPA
1 - 1
LEC
64%
23%
14%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAL
45%
29%
26%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |