Genoa vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
12.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1979 |
ASS
1 - 1
GEN
56%
27%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
GEN
0 - 0
PES
58%
26%
17%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
SSS
1 - 1
GEN
43%
31%
26%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
GEN
2 - 0
VAR
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
GEN
0 - 1
BRE
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1979 |
TER
1 - 0
LEC
50%
30%
20%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
LEC
1 - 2
SAM
49%
29%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
PES
1 - 0
LEC
60%
25%
15%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
LEC
1 - 0
RIM
63%
24%
13%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
PIS
1 - 1
LEC
58%
26%
16%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |